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Red50
161913.6
32433.2
212224.6
Blue30
903713.2
743618.1
43485.8
93%Model gave it7%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions572702040801005030

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.60.2
17.617.8
Auto6.6
Teleop16.8
End1.2
red by 6.5
7436
#19
18.10.2
9.09.2
Auto6.1
Teleop9.8
End2.3
Second
1619
#14
13.60.2
20.620.7
Auto4.9
Teleop7.3
End1.4
red by 0.4
9037
#21
13.20.2
10.610.8
Auto6.3
Teleop6.6
End0.3
Third
3243
#43
3.20.2
10.210.4
Auto-0.3
Teleop0.8
End2.7
blue by 2.6
4348
#27
5.80.2
8.68.8
Auto1.2
Teleop4.6
End0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
27%Melody oddsEarned19%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed