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Red23
79066.9
585117.5
883913.8
Blue26
81745.4
32887.0
31667.8
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions363110204050602326

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5851
#17
17.51.6
13.712.2
Auto4.0
Teleop11.8
End1.7
red by 9.7
3166
#31
7.81.4
9.78.3
Auto3.5
Teleop3.4
End1.0
Second
8839
#26
13.81.6
8.57.0
Auto2.8
Teleop9.2
End1.8
red by 6.7
3288
#28
7.01.4
8.67.2
Auto6.1
Teleop0.6
End0.4
Third
7906
#35
6.91.6
9.88.3
Auto1.1
Teleop3.7
End2.0
red by 1.4
8174
#38
5.41.4
10.18.8
Auto2.6
Teleop2.3
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
19%Melody oddsMissed18%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed