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Red36
156911.0
459816.6
32433.2
Blue59
248611.3
883913.8
324523.7
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions30450204060801003659

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4598
#10
16.60.6
14.314.9
Auto7.2
Teleop7.6
End1.7
blue by 7.2
3245
#12
23.71.4
19.621.1
Auto7.5
Teleop15.4
End0.9
Second
1569
#41
11.00.6
10.811.5
Auto5.2
Teleop3.8
End2.1
blue by 2.7
8839
#26
13.81.6
8.510.0
Auto2.8
Teleop9.2
End1.8
Third
3243
#43
3.20.6
3.94.5
Auto-0.3
Teleop0.8
End2.7
blue by 8.1
2486
#18
11.31.4
10.712.1
Auto5.3
Teleop5.6
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsMissed10%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsEarned11%Ensemble oddsMissed