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Red58
789511.9
1597.6
300620.3
Blue11
88852.6
45854.7
189111.4
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions492304060801005811

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.30.6
20.320.9
Auto5.5
Teleop12.9
End2.0
red by 9.0
1891
#33
11.41.2
12.911.7
Auto5.2
Teleop5.5
End0.7
Second
7895
#15
11.90.6
12.813.4
Auto3.4
Teleop6.6
End2.0
red by 7.3
4585
#46
4.71.2
6.45.3
Auto1.2
Teleop3.8
End-0.3
Third
159
#34
7.60.7
7.98.6
Auto4.0
Teleop3.5
End0.2
red by 5.1
8885
#37
2.61.2
4.73.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop1.2
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
18%Melody oddsEarned6%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
27%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed