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Red6
43485.8
79066.9
90445.1
Blue54
324523.7
80877.9
50718.6
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions184006080654

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7906
#35
6.91.2
7.26.0
Auto1.1
Teleop3.7
End2.0
blue by 16.9
3245
#12
23.71.7
21.122.7
Auto7.5
Teleop15.4
End0.9
Second
4348
#27
5.81.2
6.35.1
Auto1.2
Teleop4.6
End0.0
blue by 2.7
5071
#39
8.61.7
6.78.4
Auto3.2
Teleop4.2
End1.1
Third
9044
#36
5.11.2
5.54.3
Auto2.4
Teleop1.7
End1.0
blue by 2.7
8087
#22
7.91.7
5.87.5
Auto4.0
Teleop3.1
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
4%Melody oddsMissed9%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed