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Red49
33746.8
189111.4
742629.5
Blue30
585117.5
418313.6
94233.7
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54372060801004930

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.50.2
29.029.2
Auto10.5
Teleop15.6
End3.4
red by 12.0
5851
#17
17.50.4
17.717.3
Auto4.0
Teleop11.8
End1.7
Second
1891
#33
11.40.2
11.711.9
Auto5.2
Teleop5.5
End0.7
blue by 2.2
4183
#40
13.60.5
13.513.1
Auto5.7
Teleop7.3
End0.6
Third
3374
#44
6.80.2
5.96.1
Auto3.6
Teleop2.1
End1.1
red by 3.1
9423
#45
3.70.4
4.13.7
Auto2.5
Teleop1.0
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
27%Melody oddsMissed16%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
34%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed