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Red41
406826.7
25948.0
182812.7
Blue20
32433.2
248611.3
494413.4
93%Model gave it7%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions583002040801004120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.70.7
27.526.9
Auto9.8
Teleop14.8
End2.1
red by 13.4
4944
#25
13.40.8
13.512.7
Auto6.7
Teleop5.9
End0.8
Second
1828
#30
12.70.7
13.412.7
Auto4.4
Teleop7.8
End0.6
red by 1.5
2486
#18
11.30.8
12.111.3
Auto5.3
Teleop5.6
End0.3
Third
2594
#13
8.00.7
8.27.6
Auto3.4
Teleop4.4
End0.2
red by 4.8
3243
#43
3.20.8
4.53.7
Auto-0.3
Teleop0.8
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
65%Melody oddsMissed26%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
35%Ensemble oddsMissed19%Ensemble oddsMissed