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Red35
593311.2
79066.9
76348.4
Blue61
340511.2
406826.7
903713.2
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2061040801003561

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5933
#16
11.21.0
9.510.4
Auto5.4
Teleop5.2
End0.7
blue by 15.5
26.70.4
26.927.3
Auto9.8
Teleop14.8
End2.1
Second
7634
#24
8.40.9
7.58.4
Auto4.7
Teleop1.1
End2.6
blue by 4.8
9037
#21
13.20.4
13.213.6
Auto6.3
Teleop6.6
End0.3
Third
7906
#35
6.90.9
6.06.9
Auto1.1
Teleop3.7
End2.0
blue by 4.3
3405
#23
11.20.5
9.910.4
Auto5.7
Teleop5.3
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
6%Melody oddsMissed46%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed28%Ensemble oddsMissed