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Red58
31667.8
742629.5
248611.3
Blue39
80877.9
300620.3
33746.8
87%Model gave it13%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions563402040801005839

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.50.0
29.229.2
Auto10.5
Teleop15.6
End3.4
red by 9.1
20.30.4
19.920.3
Auto5.5
Teleop12.9
End2.0
Second
2486
#18
11.30.0
11.311.3
Auto5.3
Teleop5.6
End0.3
red by 3.4
8087
#22
7.90.4
7.57.9
Auto4.0
Teleop3.1
End0.8
Third
3166
#31
7.80.0
7.97.8
Auto3.5
Teleop3.4
End1.0
red by 1.0
3374
#44
6.80.4
6.16.5
Auto3.6
Teleop2.1
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
41%Melody oddsMissed14%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
37%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed