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Red36
81745.4
789511.9
133920.5
Blue50
593311.2
43485.8
324523.7
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions444202060803650

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.50.6
20.519.9
Auto6.8
Teleop12.8
End0.9
blue by 3.2
3245
#12
23.70.7
22.723.5
Auto7.5
Teleop15.4
End0.9
Second
7895
#15
11.90.6
13.012.3
Auto3.4
Teleop6.6
End2.0
red by 0.7
5933
#16
11.20.7
10.411.2
Auto5.4
Teleop5.2
End0.7
Third
8174
#38
5.40.6
6.15.4
Auto2.6
Teleop2.3
End0.6
blue by 0.4
4348
#27
5.80.7
5.15.8
Auto1.2
Teleop4.6
End0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
18%Melody oddsMissed10%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
23%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed