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Red65
406826.7
212224.6
189111.4
Blue64
903713.2
789511.9
743618.1
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions75452040601006564

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.70.1
27.327.2
Auto9.8
Teleop14.8
End2.1
red by 8.6
7436
#19
18.10.1
18.518.6
Auto6.1
Teleop9.8
End2.3
Second
24.60.1
25.225.1
Auto6.6
Teleop16.8
End1.2
red by 11.4
9037
#21
13.20.1
13.613.7
Auto6.3
Teleop6.6
End0.3
Third
1891
#33
11.40.1
12.011.9
Auto5.2
Teleop5.5
End0.7
blue by 0.6
7895
#15
11.90.1
12.312.4
Auto3.4
Teleop6.6
End2.0