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Red59
406826.7
212224.6
189111.4
Blue86
883913.8
656023.1
350118.5
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions73582030405080901005986

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.70.4
27.226.8
Auto9.8
Teleop14.8
End2.1
red by 3.6
23.10.2
22.622.8
Auto8.2
Teleop13.1
End1.8
Second
24.60.4
25.124.7
Auto6.6
Teleop16.8
End1.2
red by 6.1
18.50.2
18.018.2
Auto5.8
Teleop12.0
End0.7
Third
1891
#33
11.40.4
11.911.4
Auto5.2
Teleop5.5
End0.7
blue by 2.4
8839
#26
13.80.2
13.213.4
Auto2.8
Teleop9.2
End1.8