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Red67
33746.8
324523.7
742629.5
Blue63
300914.3
494413.4
300620.3
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6851204060801006763

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.50.2
29.229.4
Auto10.5
Teleop15.6
End3.4
red by 9.1
20.30.2
20.420.6
Auto5.5
Teleop12.9
End2.0
Second
3245
#12
23.70.2
23.523.7
Auto7.5
Teleop15.4
End0.9
red by 9.5
3009
#11
14.30.2
14.314.6
Auto5.4
Teleop5.6
End3.3
Third
3374
#44
6.80.2
6.66.8
Auto3.6
Teleop2.1
End1.1
blue by 6.5
4944
#25
13.40.2
13.413.6
Auto6.7
Teleop5.9
End0.8