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Red60
406826.7
212224.6
189111.4
Blue86
585117.5
133920.5
141022.2
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions706540506080901006086

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.70.1
26.826.7
Auto9.8
Teleop14.8
End2.1
red by 4.5
22.20.4
21.922.2
Auto9.3
Teleop10.7
End2.2
Second
24.60.1
24.724.6
Auto6.6
Teleop16.8
End1.2
red by 4.1
20.50.4
20.320.7
Auto6.8
Teleop12.8
End0.9
Third
1891
#33
11.40.1
11.411.4
Auto5.2
Teleop5.5
End0.7
blue by 6.2
5851
#17
17.50.4
17.217.6
Auto4.0
Teleop11.8
End1.7