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Red73
242115.9
159924.7
210624.7
Blue66
68622.8
62022.1
859227.7
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions74860501001502002507366

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2106
#10
24.70.0
27.727.7
Auto9.3
Teleop14.0
End1.4
blue by 3.0
8592
#11
27.70.7
26.425.7
Auto11.4
Teleop14.0
End2.3
Second
24.70.0
23.923.9
Auto6.8
Teleop15.0
End2.9
red by 1.8
686
#18
22.80.7
23.622.9
Auto11.3
Teleop9.7
End1.9
Third
2421
#15
15.90.0
16.516.5
Auto8.1
Teleop5.2
End2.6
blue by 6.2
620
#12
22.10.7
26.625.9
Auto7.5
Teleop12.3
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
68%Melody oddsEarned82%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
24%Ensemble oddsEarned20%Ensemble oddsMissed