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Red83
45759.5
44933.2
42228.8
Blue46
173139.5
90335.9
219914.9
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions87720501001502008346

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
449
#8
33.20.1
38.638.6
Auto15.2
Teleop15.4
End2.6
blue by 6.3
39.51.7
42.641.0
Auto14.8
Teleop18.8
End6.0
Second
422
#5
28.80.1
30.230.3
Auto8.6
Teleop18.7
End1.5
red by 13.9
2199
#21
14.91.7
17.015.4
Auto6.8
Teleop7.8
End0.4
Third
4575
#19
9.50.1
8.28.3
Auto3.3
Teleop5.3
End0.9
red by 3.6
9033
#27
5.91.7
7.35.7
Auto3.9
Teleop2.1
End-0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
72%Melody oddsEarned75%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
41%Ensemble oddsMissed19%Ensemble oddsMissed