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Red31
62313.9
45759.5
138910.6
Blue69
44933.2
55498.0
159924.7
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32870501001503169

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
623
#22
13.90.3
14.814.5
Auto4.5
Teleop7.5
End1.9
blue by 19.3
449
#8
33.21.2
38.637.4
Auto15.2
Teleop15.4
End2.6
Second
1389
#26
10.60.3
11.911.6
Auto2.8
Teleop6.6
End1.1
blue by 14.1
24.71.2
23.922.6
Auto6.8
Teleop15.0
End2.9
Third
4575
#19
9.50.3
8.38.0
Auto3.3
Teleop5.3
End0.9
red by 1.5
5549
#23
8.01.2
9.58.3
Auto4.1
Teleop3.2
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsMissed81%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
17%Ensemble oddsMissed49%Ensemble oddsMissed