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Red58
61419.1
219914.9
999919.2
Blue42
90335.9
99985.2
242115.9
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51280204060801001201405842

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.21.3
15.316.6
Auto4.6
Teleop14.2
End0.4
red by 3.3
2421
#15
15.90.3
16.516.8
Auto8.1
Teleop5.2
End2.6
Second
614
#13
19.10.8
15.716.5
Auto7.5
Teleop10.1
End1.5
red by 13.2
9033
#27
5.90.3
5.76.0
Auto3.9
Teleop2.1
End-0.2
Third
2199
#21
14.90.8
15.416.1
Auto6.8
Teleop7.8
End0.4
red by 9.7
9998
#16
5.20.5
5.66.1
Auto2.3
Teleop3.0
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
50%Melody oddsEarned4%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed