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Red53
18854.0
210624.7
859227.7
Blue54
173139.5
138910.6
61419.1
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions71880204060801001201401605354

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8592
#11
27.71.0
28.127.1
Auto11.4
Teleop14.0
End2.3
blue by 11.8
39.51.6
45.844.2
Auto14.8
Teleop18.8
End6.0
Second
2106
#10
24.71.0
29.128.1
Auto9.3
Teleop14.0
End1.4
red by 5.6
614
#13
19.11.6
18.116.5
Auto7.5
Teleop10.1
End1.5
Third
1885
#24
4.01.0
9.38.3
Auto1.8
Teleop1.8
End0.4
blue by 6.6
1389
#26
10.61.6
13.612.1
Auto2.8
Teleop6.6
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
68%Melody oddsMissed93%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsMissed65%Ensemble oddsMissed