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Red56
159924.7
218615.4
99985.2
Blue53
999919.2
242115.9
37936.9
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53270204060801001201405653

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.70.1
25.525.5
Auto6.8
Teleop15.0
End2.9
red by 5.5
19.22.4
7.09.4
Auto4.6
Teleop14.2
End0.4
Second
15.40.1
15.815.7
Auto3.9
Teleop9.6
End1.9
blue by 0.4
2421
#15
15.91.4
15.917.3
Auto8.1
Teleop5.2
End2.6
Third
9998
#16
5.20.2
4.14.0
Auto2.3
Teleop3.0
End0.1
blue by 1.6
3793
#28
6.91.4
6.78.1
Auto3.4
Teleop2.7
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
20%Melody oddsMissed5%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsEarned9%Ensemble oddsMissed