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Red45
20689.5
42228.8
82304.8
Blue21
907221.0
45759.5
68622.8
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5483020401001201401604521

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
422
#5
28.80.9
31.230.2
Auto8.6
Teleop18.7
End1.5
red by 6.0
686
#18
22.83.4
27.023.6
Auto11.3
Teleop9.7
End1.9
Second
2068
#17
9.50.9
11.710.8
Auto3.1
Teleop4.5
End2.0
blue by 11.4
9072
#20
21.03.4
33.129.7
Auto7.6
Teleop14.4
End-1.0
Third
8230
#25
4.80.9
9.28.2
Auto3.9
Teleop0.9
End-0.1
blue by 4.7
4575
#19
9.53.4
11.68.2
Auto3.3
Teleop5.3
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
26%Melody oddsMissed81%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed