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Red62
55498.0
83634.2
242115.9
Blue64
159924.7
173139.5
18854.0
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions69890204060801001201406264

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
836
#1
34.20.8
34.133.2
Auto13.8
Teleop15.0
End5.4
blue by 5.3
39.51.6
44.242.6
Auto14.8
Teleop18.8
End6.0
Second
2421
#15
15.90.8
17.316.5
Auto8.1
Teleop5.2
End2.6
blue by 8.8
24.71.6
25.523.9
Auto6.8
Teleop15.0
End2.9
Third
5549
#23
8.00.8
13.012.1
Auto4.1
Teleop3.2
End0.6
red by 4.0
1885
#24
4.01.6
8.36.7
Auto1.8
Teleop1.8
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
52%Melody oddsMissed87%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
64%Ensemble oddsEarned36%Ensemble oddsMissed