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Red72
859227.7
61419.1
44933.2
Blue69
999919.2
237719.2
62022.1
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions975301507269

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
449
#8
33.20.7
39.338.6
Auto15.2
Teleop15.4
End2.6
red by 11.1
620
#12
22.10.8
25.726.6
Auto7.5
Teleop12.3
End2.3
Second
8592
#11
27.70.7
27.126.4
Auto11.4
Teleop14.0
End2.3
red by 8.5
19.20.8
19.220.0
Auto6.1
Teleop9.0
End4.1
Third
614
#13
19.10.7
16.515.8
Auto7.5
Teleop10.1
End1.5
Level
19.21.4
9.410.8
Auto4.6
Teleop14.2
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
83%Melody oddsEarned51%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
31%Ensemble oddsMissed39%Ensemble oddsMissed