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Red32
53915.9
970913.4
42862.4
Blue45
159915.1
859218.8
45056.4
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2848010204060703245

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
539
#9
15.90.2
13.413.7
Auto5.8
Teleop7.7
End2.4
blue by 2.9
8592
#13
18.80.1
18.618.5
Auto4.9
Teleop11.0
End2.9
Second
9709
#19
13.40.2
11.712.0
Auto7.0
Teleop4.6
End1.8
blue by 1.7
15.10.1
16.816.7
Auto5.6
Teleop8.0
End1.5
Third
4286
#29
2.40.2
2.62.9
Auto1.1
Teleop0.4
End1.0
blue by 4.0
4505
#21
6.40.1
5.75.6
Auto4.8
Teleop1.2
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
15%Melody oddsMissed39%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed