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Red28
62014.0
15225.3
832613.4
Blue19
29987.9
85908.2
337311.9
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions343110204050602819

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
620
#10
14.00.5
11.711.2
Auto2.3
Teleop10.5
End1.3
red by 2.0
3373
#23
11.91.1
8.37.2
Auto6.9
Teleop3.7
End1.3
Second
13.40.5
14.113.6
Auto7.9
Teleop4.6
End0.8
red by 5.2
8590
#15
8.21.1
12.011.0
Auto4.0
Teleop3.1
End1.0
Third
1522
#25
5.30.5
4.94.4
Auto3.0
Teleop1.8
End0.6
blue by 2.6
2998
#24
7.91.1
8.37.3
Auto3.1
Teleop4.5
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsMissed14%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed