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Red35
409917.0
25348.9
55878.1
Blue17
24215.2
53915.9
6125.8
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions373310203040503517

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.00.3
16.616.8
Auto6.8
Teleop9.4
End0.8
red by 1.2
539
#9
15.92.1
13.711.5
Auto5.8
Teleop7.7
End2.4
Second
2534
#12
8.90.3
8.08.3
Auto4.4
Teleop3.2
End1.3
red by 3.1
612
#27
5.82.1
8.05.8
Auto3.0
Teleop1.9
End0.9
Third
5587
#22
8.10.3
8.18.4
Auto4.1
Teleop2.8
End1.2
red by 2.9
2421
#26
5.22.1
8.56.4
Auto1.8
Teleop1.5
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsMissed15%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed