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Red33
210612.8
59546.6
189518.5
Blue59
68638.1
6174.6
313617.3
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions413820305060703359

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.50.5
18.518.1
Auto6.9
Teleop11.3
End0.2
red by 1.1
17.30.1
16.916.8
Auto4.2
Teleop11.7
End1.4
Second
2106
#14
12.80.5
13.413.0
Auto2.8
Teleop9.6
End0.4
red by 4.7
6863
#11
8.10.1
11.911.8
Auto3.7
Teleop2.9
End1.5
Third
5954
#28
6.60.5
5.14.6
Auto2.1
Teleop3.5
End1.0
red by 2.0
617
#20
4.60.1
5.95.9
Auto1.4
Teleop2.9
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
20%Melody oddsMissed26%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsEarned