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Red61
159915.1
173133.6
29987.9
Blue84
409917.0
42218.1
859218.8
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions62573040507080901001106184

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.62.2
31.529.3
Auto15.7
Teleop15.1
End2.8
red by 14.8
8592
#13
18.81.4
18.517.0
Auto4.9
Teleop11.0
End2.9
Second
15.12.2
16.714.5
Auto5.6
Teleop8.0
End1.5
blue by 3.1
422
#2
18.11.4
16.815.3
Auto6.2
Teleop11.3
End0.6
Third
2998
#24
7.92.2
7.35.1
Auto3.1
Teleop4.5
End0.3
blue by 9.2
17.01.4
16.815.4
Auto6.8
Teleop9.4
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
68%Melody oddsMissed32%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
22%Ensemble oddsEarned8%Ensemble oddsMissed