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Red16
25348.9
83615.6
68638.1
Blue15
42862.4
55878.1
6174.6
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions43150102030506070801615

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
836
#6
15.62.2
15.313.1
Auto7.0
Teleop8.1
End0.6
red by 7.5
5587
#22
8.10.8
8.47.6
Auto4.1
Teleop2.8
End1.2
Second
2534
#12
8.92.2
8.36.1
Auto4.4
Teleop3.2
End1.3
red by 4.3
617
#20
4.60.8
5.95.1
Auto1.4
Teleop2.9
End0.3
Third
6863
#11
8.12.2
11.89.7
Auto3.7
Teleop2.9
End1.5
red by 5.6
4286
#29
2.40.8
2.92.1
Auto1.1
Teleop0.4
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
9%Melody oddsMissed11%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
17%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed