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Red40
6174.6
337311.9
859218.8
Blue42
33910.7
25348.9
15225.3
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3723010305060704042

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8592
#13
18.80.8
17.218.0
Auto4.9
Teleop11.0
End2.9
red by 8.1
339
#17
10.70.9
9.510.4
Auto4.0
Teleop5.2
End1.5
Second
3373
#23
11.90.8
9.910.7
Auto6.9
Teleop3.7
End1.3
red by 3.0
2534
#12
8.90.9
6.37.3
Auto4.4
Teleop3.2
End1.3
Third
617
#20
4.60.8
4.85.6
Auto1.4
Teleop2.9
End0.3
blue by 0.7
1522
#25
5.30.9
6.37.3
Auto3.0
Teleop1.8
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody oddsMissed6%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed