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Red49
45056.4
6125.8
173133.6
Blue59
29987.9
83615.6
53915.9
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions493401020406070804959

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.60.6
31.932.5
Auto15.7
Teleop15.1
End2.8
red by 17.7
539
#9
15.91.5
12.413.9
Auto5.8
Teleop7.7
End2.4
Second
4505
#21
6.40.7
5.96.5
Auto4.8
Teleop1.2
End0.4
blue by 9.2
836
#6
15.61.5
14.415.9
Auto7.0
Teleop8.1
End0.6
Third
612
#27
5.80.7
4.55.1
Auto3.0
Teleop1.9
End0.9
blue by 2.1
2998
#24
7.91.6
5.37.0
Auto3.1
Teleop4.5
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
37%Melody oddsMissed13%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
22%Ensemble oddsMissed20%Ensemble oddsMissed