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Red19
15225.3
5403.4
29987.9
Blue34
832613.4
210612.8
409917.0
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14490102030406070801934

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2998
#24
7.90.2
7.07.1
Auto3.1
Teleop4.5
End0.3
blue by 9.2
17.00.5
16.015.4
Auto6.8
Teleop9.4
End0.8
Second
1522
#25
5.30.2
7.37.5
Auto3.0
Teleop1.8
End0.6
blue by 8.1
13.40.5
12.411.9
Auto7.9
Teleop4.6
End0.8
Third
540
#16
3.40.2
2.93.0
Auto2.3
Teleop0.8
End0.4
blue by 9.3
2106
#14
12.80.5
11.611.1
Auto2.8
Teleop9.6
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
6%Melody oddsMissed21%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed16%Ensemble oddsMissed