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Red31
42862.4
85908.2
189518.5
Blue16
68638.1
33910.7
24215.2
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3630010204050603116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.50.5
19.819.3
Auto6.9
Teleop11.3
End0.2
red by 7.7
339
#17
10.71.4
10.49.1
Auto4.0
Teleop5.2
End1.5
Second
8590
#15
8.20.5
8.68.1
Auto4.0
Teleop3.1
End1.0
red by 0.1
6863
#11
8.11.4
9.48.0
Auto3.7
Teleop2.9
End1.5
Third
4286
#29
2.40.5
3.12.6
Auto1.1
Teleop0.4
End1.0
blue by 2.8
2421
#26
5.21.4
7.66.2
Auto1.8
Teleop1.5
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
23%Melody oddsMissed5%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed