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Red30
6125.8
59546.6
25348.9
Blue32
85908.2
5403.4
68638.1
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2121051015253035403032

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2534
#12
8.90.9
7.18.1
Auto4.4
Teleop3.2
End1.3
red by 0.7
8590
#15
8.20.2
8.17.9
Auto4.0
Teleop3.1
End1.0
Second
5954
#28
6.60.9
5.26.1
Auto2.1
Teleop3.5
End1.0
blue by 1.4
6863
#11
8.10.2
8.07.8
Auto3.7
Teleop2.9
End1.5
Third
612
#27
5.80.9
6.27.1
Auto3.0
Teleop1.9
End0.9
red by 2.4
540
#16
3.40.2
3.02.9
Auto2.3
Teleop0.8
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
7%Melody oddsMissed6%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsEarned