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Red18
17937.6
572411.9
61898.3
Blue14
1418.8
61944.9
94035.4
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions302601020405060701814

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5724
#12
11.91.0
11.110.1
Auto5.3
Teleop4.9
End1.7
red by 3.1
141
#14
8.81.6
10.28.6
Auto4.1
Teleop3.2
End1.5
Second
6189
#21
8.31.0
8.47.4
Auto2.5
Teleop4.5
End1.2
red by 2.8
9403
#17Sur
5.41.6
7.96.3
Auto-0.0
Teleop4.8
End0.7
Third
1793
#18Sur
7.61.0
7.26.2
Auto2.7
Teleop4.5
End0.4
red by 2.7
6194
#16
4.91.6
6.14.5
Auto2.1
Teleop2.3
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody oddsMissed13%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed