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Red63
108618.0
162926.4
580424.7
Blue56
336111.0
949630.2
680221.1
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5337102030506070806356

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.41.8
16.017.9
Auto11.2
Teleop14.1
End1.0
blue by 3.8
30.21.7
13.315.0
Auto14.0
Teleop15.3
End0.9
Second
24.71.8
17.119.0
Auto6.4
Teleop16.1
End2.2
red by 3.6
21.11.7
13.615.3
Auto6.6
Teleop12.6
End1.9
Third
18.01.8
13.215.1
Auto5.4
Teleop11.0
End1.5
red by 7.0
3361
#15
11.01.7
8.710.4
Auto2.4
Teleop6.9
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
17%Melody oddsEarned20%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsEarned8%Ensemble oddsMissed