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Red33
82308.4
58306.8
40125.3
Blue31
445612.0
44921.4
90039.6
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions383902060801003331

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
401
#9
25.30.4
16.015.6
Auto13.3
Teleop10.0
End2.0
red by 3.9
449
#4
21.40.4
15.915.5
Auto10.3
Teleop10.4
End0.8
Second
8230
#22
8.40.4
8.98.6
Auto3.5
Teleop3.3
End1.5
blue by 3.5
4456
#19
12.00.4
10.19.7
Auto5.9
Teleop4.2
End1.9
Third
5830
#20
6.80.4
9.38.9
Auto1.9
Teleop4.0
End0.9
blue by 2.8
9003
#24
9.60.4
8.88.4
Auto4.0
Teleop3.5
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
15%Melody oddsMissed14%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed