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Red22
18853.9
90039.6
61944.9
Blue58
949630.2
108618.0
1418.8
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions175204060802258

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9003
#24
9.60.3
8.08.3
Auto4.0
Teleop3.5
End2.2
blue by 20.6
30.21.4
18.920.3
Auto14.0
Teleop15.3
End0.9
Second
6194
#16
4.90.3
4.04.3
Auto2.1
Teleop2.3
End0.5
blue by 13.1
18.01.4
15.316.7
Auto5.4
Teleop11.0
End1.5
Third
1885
#25
3.90.3
7.57.8
Auto1.6
Teleop1.5
End0.8
blue by 4.9
141
#14
8.81.4
8.910.3
Auto4.1
Teleop3.2
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsMissed24%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed