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Red34
97713.5
58306.8
457512.1
Blue77
580424.7
496719.3
82308.4
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions315101020406070803477

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
977
#10
13.50.7
12.411.6
Auto5.2
Teleop7.0
End1.4
blue by 11.2
24.72.6
19.822.4
Auto6.4
Teleop16.1
End2.2
Second
4575
#11
12.10.7
10.810.1
Auto6.4
Teleop5.2
End0.5
blue by 7.1
19.32.6
13.616.2
Auto2.9
Teleop14.8
End1.6
Third
5830
#20
6.80.7
7.36.6
Auto1.9
Teleop4.0
End0.9
blue by 1.6
8230
#22
8.42.6
10.312.9
Auto3.5
Teleop3.3
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsMissed20%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed24%Ensemble oddsMissed