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Red21
572411.9
336111.0
82308.4
Blue35
18853.9
108618.0
496719.3
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions384602060802135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5724
#12
11.91.6
12.611.0
Auto5.3
Teleop4.9
End1.7
blue by 7.4
19.31.7
16.214.4
Auto2.9
Teleop14.8
End1.6
Second
3361
#15
11.01.6
9.78.1
Auto2.4
Teleop6.9
End1.7
blue by 7.0
18.01.7
16.715.0
Auto5.4
Teleop11.0
End1.5
Third
8230
#22
8.41.6
12.911.4
Auto3.5
Teleop3.3
End1.5
red by 4.5
1885
#25
3.91.7
7.86.1
Auto1.6
Teleop1.5
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
21%Melody oddsMissed29%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed