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Red66
61898.3
44921.4
580424.7
Blue56
162926.4
58306.8
97713.5
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions524220306070806656

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.72.2
22.424.6
Auto6.4
Teleop16.1
End2.2
blue by 1.6
26.41.3
21.122.4
Auto11.2
Teleop14.1
End1.0
Second
449
#4
21.42.2
19.321.5
Auto10.3
Teleop10.4
End0.8
red by 7.9
977
#10
13.51.3
11.612.9
Auto5.2
Teleop7.0
End1.4
Third
6189
#21
8.32.2
4.46.6
Auto2.5
Teleop4.5
End1.2
red by 1.4
5830
#20
6.81.3
6.67.9
Auto1.9
Teleop4.0
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
42%Melody oddsEarned30%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed