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Red36
457512.1
17937.6
108618.0
Blue41
82308.4
496719.3
162926.4
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3756203050607080903641

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.01.4
14.913.5
Auto5.4
Teleop11.0
End1.5
blue by 8.4
26.41.7
23.922.3
Auto11.2
Teleop14.1
End1.0
Second
4575
#11
12.11.4
11.09.6
Auto6.4
Teleop5.2
End0.5
blue by 7.1
19.31.7
14.412.7
Auto2.9
Teleop14.8
End1.6
Third
1793
#18
7.61.4
9.78.3
Auto2.7
Teleop4.5
End0.4
blue by 0.8
8230
#22
8.41.7
9.98.3
Auto3.5
Teleop3.3
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
18%Melody oddsMissed57%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsEarned8%Ensemble oddsMissed