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Red37
1418.8
90336.8
580424.7
Blue79
44921.4
336111.0
40125.3
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions485610203040607080903779

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.70.7
24.623.9
Auto6.4
Teleop16.1
End2.2
blue by 0.6
401
#9
25.31.4
21.422.8
Auto13.3
Teleop10.0
End2.0
Second
141
#14
8.80.7
10.69.9
Auto4.1
Teleop3.2
End1.5
blue by 12.6
449
#4
21.41.4
20.021.4
Auto10.3
Teleop10.4
End0.8
Third
9033
#23
6.80.7
9.18.4
Auto2.8
Teleop3.4
End0.5
blue by 4.2
3361
#15
11.01.4
8.29.6
Auto2.4
Teleop6.9
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
36%Melody oddsMissed43%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
18%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed