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Red45
108618.0
393915.4
90336.8
Blue23
580424.7
445612.0
17937.6
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions375001020306070804523

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.00.5
13.514.0
Auto5.4
Teleop11.0
End1.5
blue by 6.8
24.72.0
23.921.9
Auto6.4
Teleop16.1
End2.2
Second
15.40.5
12.713.2
Auto7.3
Teleop6.8
End1.3
red by 3.5
4456
#19
12.02.0
11.79.6
Auto5.9
Teleop4.2
End1.9
Third
9033
#23
6.80.5
8.48.9
Auto2.8
Teleop3.4
End0.5
blue by 0.8
1793
#18
7.62.0
8.36.2
Auto2.7
Teleop4.5
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
26%Melody oddsMissed29%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed29%Ensemble oddsMissed