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Red20
94035.4
58306.8
336111.0
Blue34
12629.2
457512.1
90039.6
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions213401030405060702034

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3361
#15
11.00.1
9.69.5
Auto2.4
Teleop6.9
End1.7
blue by 1.2
4575
#11
12.10.0
9.69.6
Auto6.4
Teleop5.2
End0.5
Second
5830
#20
6.80.1
5.75.6
Auto1.9
Teleop4.0
End0.9
blue by 2.8
9003
#24
9.60.0
7.27.2
Auto4.0
Teleop3.5
End2.2
Third
9403
#17
5.40.1
5.55.4
Auto-0.0
Teleop4.8
End0.7
blue by 3.8
1262
#13
9.20.0
12.112.1
Auto0.6
Teleop5.9
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsMissed6%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed20%Ensemble oddsMissed