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Red49
162926.4
82308.4
680221.1
Blue54
61898.3
949630.2
496719.3
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions56452040804954

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.40.1
22.322.2
Auto11.2
Teleop14.1
End1.0
blue by 3.8
30.21.1
21.422.4
Auto14.0
Teleop15.3
End0.9
Second
21.10.1
19.219.1
Auto6.6
Teleop12.6
End1.9
red by 1.8
19.31.1
12.713.8
Auto2.9
Teleop14.8
End1.6
Third
8230
#22
8.40.1
8.38.2
Auto3.5
Teleop3.3
End1.5
red by 0.2
6189
#21
8.31.1
7.98.9
Auto2.5
Teleop4.5
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
42%Melody oddsMissed50%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed