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Red35
17937.6
580424.7
61944.9
Blue46
496719.3
336111.0
12629.2
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34400102030506070803546

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.71.8
21.920.1
Auto6.4
Teleop16.1
End2.2
red by 5.5
19.30.9
13.814.6
Auto2.9
Teleop14.8
End1.6
Second
1793
#18
7.61.8
6.24.5
Auto2.7
Teleop4.5
End0.4
blue by 3.4
3361
#15
11.00.9
9.510.4
Auto2.4
Teleop6.9
End1.7
Third
6194
#16
4.91.8
3.51.8
Auto2.1
Teleop2.3
End0.5
blue by 4.3
1262
#13
9.20.9
12.112.9
Auto0.6
Teleop5.9
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
22%Melody oddsMissed26%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
29%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsMissed