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Red58
457512.1
1418.8
949630.2
Blue34
44921.4
58306.8
572411.9
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions464402060805834

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.20.9
22.423.4
Auto14.0
Teleop15.3
End0.9
red by 8.8
449
#4
21.40.7
21.721.1
Auto10.3
Teleop10.4
End0.8
Second
4575
#11
12.10.9
9.610.6
Auto6.4
Teleop5.2
End0.5
red by 0.3
5724
#12
11.90.7
12.612.0
Auto5.3
Teleop4.9
End1.7
Third
141
#14
8.80.9
9.410.3
Auto4.1
Teleop3.2
End1.5
red by 2.0
5830
#20
6.80.7
5.65.0
Auto1.9
Teleop4.0
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
28%Melody oddsEarned28%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed