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Red44
108618.0
457512.1
572411.9
Blue48
680221.1
61898.3
393915.4
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4047102030506070804448

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.00.5
14.314.8
Auto5.4
Teleop11.0
End1.5
blue by 3.1
21.10.3
18.619.0
Auto6.6
Teleop12.6
End1.9
Second
4575
#11
12.10.5
10.611.1
Auto6.4
Teleop5.2
End0.5
blue by 3.3
15.40.3
12.713.1
Auto7.3
Teleop6.8
End1.3
Third
5724
#12
11.90.5
12.012.5
Auto5.3
Teleop4.9
End1.7
red by 3.6
6189
#21
8.30.3
9.910.3
Auto2.5
Teleop4.5
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
17%Melody oddsMissed21%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsMissed4%Ensemble oddsMissed