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Red59
336111.0
445612.0
949630.2
Blue30
40125.3
94035.4
82308.4
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions513902060805930

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.20.2
23.423.2
Auto14.0
Teleop15.3
End0.9
red by 4.9
401
#9
25.30.5
22.922.4
Auto13.3
Teleop10.0
End2.0
Second
4456
#19
12.00.2
10.810.6
Auto5.9
Teleop4.2
End1.9
red by 3.5
8230
#22
8.40.5
8.88.3
Auto3.5
Teleop3.3
End1.5
Third
3361
#15
11.00.2
10.410.2
Auto2.4
Teleop6.9
End1.7
red by 5.6
9403
#17
5.40.5
5.04.5
Auto-0.0
Teleop4.8
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
61%Melody oddsMissed27%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed